I thoroughly enjoyed them both and could see the Tony going to either of them. Why:Shes Phylicia Rashad, and she was really good. Saturday Night) 11/2 Hugh Jackman (The Music Man) 5/1 Montana Levi Blanco, "The Skin of Our Teeth", Sarafina Bush, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Jane Greenwood, "Neil Simon's Plaza Suite", IK:Three acts meant three different time periods for two of these plays, interestingly enough, but the stronger of those was "The Skin of Our Teeth.". Download our free and easy app forApple/iPhone devicesorAndroid (Google Play)to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. (Sorry,Funny Girl!) BC: I was not a big fan of Brackett's previous work, but he takes it to another level with "A Strange Loop. Flying Over Sunset, Beowulf Boritt and 59 ProductionsCompany, Bunny ChristieA Strange Loop, Arnulfo MaldonadoMJ, Derek McLane and Peter NigriniParadise Square, Allen Moyer. Who was eliminated? This one has been slightly tweaked, but it still works. These (marked in boldface) are my best guesses of whowillwin, not my preferences. Christina Anderson, Craig Lucas and Larry Kirwan. BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICALSimon Baker,Girl from the North CountryIan Dickinsonfor Autograph,CompanyPaul Gatehouse,SixDrew Levy,A Strange LoopGareth Owen,MJ, BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAYJustin Ellington,for colored girlsMikhail Fiksel,Dana H.Palmer Hefferan,The Skin of Our TeethNick Powell,The Lehman TrilogyMikaal Sulaiman,Macbeth. While I realize some people loved "How I Learned to Drive," I hated every second of it. The Music Man 69/20 I could watch the "Smooth Criminal" number again and again. Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play, Gabby Beans,The Skin of Our TeethLaChanze,Trouble in MindRuth Negga,Macbeth Deirdre OConnell,Dana H.Mary-Louise Parker,How I Learned to Drive. Jayne Houdyshell (The Music Man) 8/1 But Beale, Godley and Rockwell all have a fighting chance. 2023 Emmy Predictions; TV Awards Calendar; . BC: This comes down to "Company" and "A Strange Loop." There were triumphs. Sign up today! 2023 Vox Media, LLC. The 2023 Tony Awards. Here are our predictions in each category. Its a wonderful night for Oscar, whenever you watch! It may seem unfair to put productions that arrived under such different circumstances in competition, but thats what awards do. Why:In this abbreviated field,The Music Manhas been printing money (thanks to its stars, who may be more likely to reap the awards, and despite some of its reviews), andCaroline, or Changewas shattering (but ended its run months ago). Hes in whats really more of a lead role, and heresponded to a truly malicious video leakwith a commitment to the need for respect in the theater, earning him props among Broadway folk. A Strange Loop 5/1 Heres how to watch them host the events red carpet, together with Derek Blasberg and Emma Chamberlain. Best Musical. But reviewerswerent universally enthusiasticabout the show, so I wouldnt be fully surprised by an upset fromThe Minutes, which has the advantage of a twist ending that (forbetter or worse) has kept audiences talking, or the deftly constructed and actedSkeleton Crew. Take Me Out 6/1 One Lehman actor, Simon Russell Beale, has a lot of support, but it seems possible the entire Lehman triad might cancel each other out, in which case Parkers co-star David Morse could rise to the top for Drive. Ruben Santiago-Hudson (Lackawanna Blues) has his admirers too. Gold Derby is a part of Penske Media Corporation. Why:Doyle is the knee-jerk pick for his tour de force delivery of Getting Married Today, but there are layers and layers to John-Andrew Morrisons work inA Strange Loopas one of Ushers thoughts (and, often, his mother). Gabby Beans makes a splash in her Broadway debut, Mary-Louise Parker is a marvel, Deirdre O'Connell tackles an experiment with skill, LaChanze is one of the greats of her generation. But "Lehman Trilogy" probably wins. In a tough category, Take Me Out takes the lead. 2023 Variety Media, LLC. ", Simon Russell Beale, "The Lehman Trilogy", Ruben Santiago-Hudson, "Lackawanna Blues". Thats likely to pull in enough votes to get Company over the top. It does seem right to end thiswith an award for the Stephen Sondheim musical. That said, this is deservedly a tough race. The 75th annual Tony Awards will be hosted by Ariana DeBose and take place from 8 to 11 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, June 12, at Radio City Music Hall in New York City. The race:Tony regulations meant that only three of this seasons four musical revival have a shot at the Tony. How will nominators fill out the list? Sign up for our email to enjoy your city without spending a thing (as well as some options when youre feeling flush). The race: Marianne Elliott has already won three Tonys since 2011. Shively,Paradise Square. Most voters will tell you that they assiduously follow the guidelines on which categories they can and cant vote in, and many of them are probably even telling the truth. Look out for your first newsletter in your inbox soon! The award for Best Book of a Musical is in the bag, but there could be a horse race for Best Score. That leaves two slots to fill for a category of five (selected from an eligibility pool of nine, per Tony regulations). IK:"MJ" definitely has a shot here, but I also think "A Strange Loop" will win. Mary-Louise Parker (How I Learned to Drive) 4/1 BC: Well, it's either Spivey orFrost. All rights reserved. Tom Curran - Six 1. Voters like Six a lot, too, but that shows greatest reward may come in the consistently robust grosses its been posting on Broadway since it officially opened in the fall. With all that in mind, and based on a highly unscientific combination of polling, gossip and instinct, here are seven predictions for the nights biggest awards. Regardless of its moral unease,MJis so dazzlingly dance-forward, it seems like the favorite and this gives the voters a chance to recognize it somewhere because its unlikely to win anything else. By entering your email address you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and consent to receive emails from Time Out about news, events, offers and partner promotions. Variety and the Flying V logos are trademarks of Variety Media, LLC. Sutton Foster (The Music Man) 11/2 BC: Going with "The Skin of Our Teeth." Brown's reimagination of Ntozake Shange's 1976 choreopoemfor colored girlsgot the most love from the nominators, and would give voters a chance to honor Blackplays in a season in which they figured prominently. In addition to Jaquel Spivey, the young Broadway newcomer in pole position for lead actor in a musical, A Strange Loop features a tight, multifaceted ensemble of six performers who all give distinctive performances that also manage to interlock into a seamless whole. A Strange Loop 4/1 It takes a lot of guts to get on stage every night and do what he does. American Idol 21 predictions: Iam Tongi is early front-runner to win, but who will be eliminated from Top 12? Parker won this same award just last year, which may work against her, butshe's a Broadway favorite in one of her signature roles, so she has a very good chanceas does LaChanze, who demonstrated suprising dramatic chops inTrouble in Mind. See ourlatest prediction champs. Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical, Billy Crystal,Mr. Saturday NightMyles Frost,MJHugh Jackman,The Music ManRob McClure,Mrs. DoubtfireJaquel Spivey,A Strange Loop. Thats true, too, of Six, in which each cast member gets equal time in the spotlight (and in which each of the six performers are eligible for lead actress in a musical). [POLL], 'American Idol 21' episode 14 recap: Top 12 revealed! Among featured performer categories (which also include several castmates competing against each other), Uzo Aduba (Clydes) is the name that most often comes up for actress and Ferguson (Take Me Out) is the one that edges ahead for actor. John-Andrew Morrison (A Strange Loop) 13/2 We say "nearly" because he's absolutely certain to win for Best Book (see below), and if voters want to give something to the popularSix, this would be one way to do it. Why:Whether you love or hate the balloons and big neon letters rolling around the stage, you remember them. BC: We almost have to give it to "Company," right? This year,. Here are my picks of who I think will win and should win. I think. It's not perfect, but he worked for years on this"big, Black, queer-ass American musical." We expect another design win for the ace spectacularists ofThe Lehman Trilogy. Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play, Alfie Allen,HangmenChuck Cooper,Trouble in MindJesse Tyler Ferguson,Take Me OutRon Cephas Jones,ClydesMichael Oberholtzer,Take Me OutJesse Williams,Take Me Out. Jane Lynch (Funny Girl) 6/1 The race:Michael R. Jackson is certain to win in this category. The answer will come May 9. Both of those (and Drive in particular) look to have a real shot at the prize, too. Why:My crackpot theory for both of these categories which requires voters to think and act in more strategic ways than they perhaps do is thatSix, with its recently released hit-filled cast recording, may get the award for its music, whereasA Strange Loopwill get the recognition for its densely intricate conceit. Editor's note: Theater lovers Ilana Keller and Bill Canacci offer their thoughts and predictions on this year's Tony Awards. The Tony Awards eligibility cut-off date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway productions which meet all other eligibility requirements. The ceremony will be held at Radio City Music Hall in New York City, will be broadcast live on CBS for the first time coast to coast and hosted by Academy Award winner and Tony Award nominee Ariana DeBose. [UPDATING LIVE BLOG]. Starring Billy Crystal, "Mr. Saturday Night" is harmless,and should be happy it's nominated. We expect another design win for the ace spectacularists of, This category is always a wild card, since so few voters know what they're listening for. Paradise Square 13/2, BEST BOOK Is 'SNL' new tonight (April 29, 2023)? Brown,for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enufSam Mendes,The Lehman TrilogyNeil Pepe,American BuffaloLes Waters,Dana H. Why:Id love for Blain-Cruz to get recognition for this femme, maximalist treatment of Wilder, or for Brown to win for emphasizing the choreo in choreopoem, but the Tonys love a technically dazzling Brit, so Mendes it is. Both Caroline, or Change and Company, hailed by critics and popular with fans, are locks, which leaves the Jackman-Foster led Music Man and the recently opened revival of Funny Girl starring the much-hyped Beanie Feldstein. IK: What Bill said. IK:Camille A. (See also: The Band's Visit,Fun Home,Once.) This story first ran inStage Whisperer, Vultures theater newsletter. BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICALFly Davis, Caroline, or ChangeToni-Leslie James,Paradise SquareWilliam Ivey Long,DianaSanto Loquasto,The Music ManGabriella Slade,SixPaul Tazewell,MJ. The Tony Awards will be broadcast live from Radio City June 12 on Paramount+ and CBS. I hope "Caroline" takes it home. This password will be used to sign into all, a Vulture senior writer covering theater, film, and TV, Photo-Illustration: Vulture; Photos by Julieta Cervantes and Marc J. Franklin, Some 100 Percent Correct 2022 Tony Awards Predictions, Roy Wood Jr.s Best Jokes at the 2023 White House Correspondents Dinner, Julia Fox Is the Only Celeb Taking White House Correspondents Fashion Seriously, The 11 Best Movies and TV Shows to Watch This Weekend, The Rivalry Between the Knicks and the Heat From the Guys Who Were There, The Knicks Vs. Heat Rivalry From the Guys Who Were There, Long Live the White House Correspondents Dinner. Heres who we think will win when Ariana DeBose hosts Broadways biggest nighton June 12, 2022. I think recency bias will lend an edge, though, andTake Me Outandfor colored girlsboth had great reviews late in the season, followed by the whole feel-good campaign to extendfor colored girls run. Mare Winningham, "Girl From The North Country". David Morse (How I Learned to Drive) 9/2 IK: It's not always easy to make a flawed character heart-rending, but Sharon D Clarke is a marvel, tearing at your emotions from all sides. The self-described "big,Black,queer-ass Americanmusical won a 2022 Pulitzer Prize, and it's telling a story the theater industry and wider world needs to hear. May 04, 2022 Broadway eagerly awaits the announcement of the 2022 Tony Award nominations. BC: This is a tough one, but let's start with a quick review: "Clyde's" is aboutsandwich creators in a truck stop run by a vicious owner;"Hangmen" takes place inabar owned by a former British executioner; "The Lehman Trilogy" is a nearly two-century look at a family and an institution thatplayed a major part in bringing the global economy to its knees; "The Minutes" shows us whathappens during a small town council meeting; and 'Skeleton Crew" is set at an automotive factory on the brink of foreclosure. Among the other possible nominees, Foster (Music Man), Feldstein (Funny Girl) and Katrina Lenk (Company) are all in the mix, although given the mixed response to all three, one or maybe even two of those names could be left off the list. COMPANY actor - Hugh Jackman supporting actor - Matt Doyle suppirting actress - Patti. 2023 Tony Awards slugfest: Final predictions for play nominations [WATCH], 2023 Tony Awards slugfest: Final predictions for musical nominations [WATCH], "I watched the first three episodes and my opinion is the same as", David. Culkin, Strong, and ", 2023 Emmy Predictions: Limited/Movie Categories (Part 7), 2023 Emmy Predictions: Comedy Categories (Part 10). Mr. Saturday Night 6/1 BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAYJoshua Carr,HangmenJiyoun Chang,for colored girlsJon Clark,The Lehman TrilogyJane Cox,MacbethYi Zhao,The Skin of Our Teeth. Take Me Out 9/2 The performers in Six, meanwhile, face a crowded field for lead actress, and its a toss-up which, if any, might manage to muscle into the race. How will nominators honor this seasons tight ensembles? Following an 18-month shutdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Broadway came storming back. Why:Heres one of those categories where you could make a convincing argument for each entry (apart fromAmerican Buffalo, if only because theplaywrights toxicity has poisoned any chance it might have had). Brown's reimagination of Ntozake Shange's 1976 choreopoem. Brown,for colored girlsSam Mendes,The Lehman TrilogyNeil Pepe,American BuffaloLes Waters,Dana H. The race:Stick a key in it, it's done: Sam Mendes has a lock on this. ", Carrie-Anne Ingrouille, "Six: The Musical". If that whopping number of eligible productions has you unsure as to what shows, actors, and creatives to predict for the Tony Awards nominations, check out our racetrack odds below for all of the top categories. Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical, Sharon D Clarke,Caroline, or ChangeCarmen Cusack,Flying Over SunsetSutton Foster,The Music ManJoaquina Kalukango,Paradise SquareMare Winningham,Girl From the North Country. IK:Starting off agreeing with Bill seems like a dangerous precedent, but "The Lehman Trilogy" has a great shot here. There's not a lot of strong competition here, so"A Strange Loop" runs away with this one. Thats A Strange Loop, Michael R. Jacksons critically adored, Pulitzer-anointed portrait of a Black queer man writing a musical about a Black queer man writing a musical. The actors were brilliant, the staging was creative and at times cinematic one of the real treasures of this historicseason. Sam and Joel reach a new level of intimacy. BC: It's nice to get an easy one! Review:The Lehman Trilogy opens on Broadway, telling the story of money and power. Deidre OConnell (Dana H.) 11/2 Make or edit your own predictions before the nominations are unveiled on Monday morning. ), American Buffalofor colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enufHow I Learned to DriveTake Me OutTrouble in Mind. 6. Lileana Blain-Cruz,The Skin of Our TeethCamille A. The aesthetic is moreAlice in Neon-Dance-Club Landthan grimy New York, as more than a few people have grumbled, but having a predictable brand does equal name recognition. With Barry on the loose, all Gene, Fuches, Hank, and Sally can do is crumble as they wait to see who hes coming for first. Simon Russell Beale (The Lehman Trilogy) 5/1 By far, she was the highlight of "Paradise Square.". And Company director Marianne Elliott stands poised to win the director of a musical award for the shows audacious concept. That Lehman love also makes the plays director, Sam Mendes, the likeliest winner in the play director category. Why:To quoteGypsy, youve gotta have a gimmick, whether youre filling every corner of the stage with junk (as inAmerican Buffalo),a full seaside boardwalk (as inThe Skin of Our Teeth), or the details of a factory break room (as inSkeleton Crew), or making it spin (as withPOTUSandThe Lehman Trilogy). Brown,for colored girlsWarren Carlyle,The Music ManCarrie-Anne Ingrouille,SixBill T. Jones,Paradise SquareChristopher Wheeldon,MJ.
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